Bitcoin Weekly Forecast & My Portfolio Update: 5.3 – 5.9

In other words, one should observe the changes in the price around $61,844. In other words, one should observe the changes in the price around $61,844. Similarly, there is still a lot of risk in the second revision of the market. Similarly, there is still a lot of risk in the second revision of the market. Therefore, I think it is better to focus on the next development in this field. 
 Hello. This is mrmasa. Hello. This is mrmasa. Now, again this week, we will conduct weekly analysis and market forecasts on Bitcoin every week. Now, again this week, we will conduct weekly analysis and market forecasts on Bitcoin every week. For the analysis period, May 3 is one day from May 9. For the analysis period, May 3 is one day from May 9. Let's get started right away. Let's get started right away. First, I want to confirm my portfolio strategy. First, I want to confirm my portfolio strategy. I basically only invest in the six categories of Bitcoin and Altcoin.

I basically only invest in the six categories of Bitcoin and Altcoin. For more information, please refer to Youtube in "Portfolio Strategy", for more information, please refer to Youtube in "Portfolio Strategy", I have compiled it separately. Then there is an update of my cryptocurrency portfolio. I have compiled it separately. Then there is an update of my cryptocurrency portfolio. This week, we sold all LINK, SNX, DOT and REN tokens. This week, we sold all LINK, SNX, DOT and REN tokens, and invested in ETH, UNI, MKR, OGN, BAT, SRM, RAD And ANY. And invested in ETH, UNI, MKR, OGN, BAT, SRM, RAD and ANY. The graph summarizes the current allocation of funds to each stock. The graph summarizes the current allocation of funds to each stock. Let's start with the analysis of Bitcoin. Let's start with the analysis of Bitcoin. The usual BTC/USDT, which is derived from the 4-hour chart. The usual BTC/USDT, which is derived from the 4-hour chart. There are three main points. There are three main points. First, it is the neckline test of ①.

First, it is the neckline test of ①. The success of the neckline test is the key to the recovery of the market, because it has formed a head and shoulders pattern. The success of the neckline test is the key to the recovery of the market, because it has formed a head and shoulders pattern. When I looked at the chart carefully, I thought the result was a failure. When I looked at the chart carefully, I thought the result was a failure. However, I think whale investors related to the industry may have turned to support purchases. However, I think whale investors related to the industry may have turned to support purchases. As a result, by going to the story of (2) and giving it is just above the price range on the shoulder, as a result, by going to the story of (2) and giving it is just above the price range on the shoulder, this becomes a chart support function Line, the recovery of the market will continue. This becomes the chart support function line, and the recovery of the market will continue.

At that time, July 5th was the news, and the square day of the Q1 quarter to BTC was. At that time, July 5th was the news, and the square day of the Q1 quarter to BTC was that the year-on-year 10 was a factor, and BTC BTC’s open interest is 8,072 BTC, a factor of 10 year-on-year, and BTC’s open interest is 8,072 BTC. To increase its speed, it will be Mavericks’ deployment. To increase its speed, it will be the deployment of Mavericks. As a result, (3) the market development has surpassed MA200. I think the development is quite good. As a result, (3) the market development has surpassed MA200. I think the development is quite good. Next is the analysis of the daily chart. Next is the analysis of the daily chart. There are 2 points here. There are 2 points here. First of all, we are also paying attention to EMA34. First of all, we are also paying attention to EMA34.

On the daily chart, it has long been a support line for the downward market. On the daily chart, it has long been a support line for the downward market. The price of this EMA34 has been closed in the last 3 days of online. The price of this EMA34 has been closed in the last 3 days of online. In other words, it can be said that the market is using EMA34 as a support line, returning to the bull market from the previous 30% decline. In other words, it can be said that the market is using EMA34 as a support line, returning to the bull market from the previous 30% decline. By the time we enter a full-scale bull market, there is still the possibility of friction around EMA34, but it is developing in a good way. By the time we enter a full-scale bull market, there is still the possibility of friction around EMA34, but it is developing in a good way. The other is Bull Trap of ②. The other is Bull Trap of ②. March 13 was marked as the last pattern of the day $61,844 over the resistance line, an ascending sign, ATH update, $64,854, March 13 was marked as the last pattern of the day $61,844 over the resistance line, an ascending sign The sign, ATH update, $64,854, but it was marked and turned into a bull trap, failing to pass the neckline test, 30% this is a falling market.

But it was marked and turned into a bull trap, failing to pass the neckline test, 30% of this is a falling market. In other words, one should observe the changes in the price around $61,844. In other words, one should observe the changes in the price around $61,844. Similarly, there is still a lot of risk in the second revision of the market. Similarly, there is still a lot of risk in the second revision of the market. Therefore, I think it is better to focus on the next development in this field. Therefore, I think it is better to focus on the next development in this field. Next is the analysis of the weekly chart. Next is the analysis of the weekly chart. The legs are also 2 points per week. The legs are also 2 points per week.

① MA18 is that in BTC, we always act as a support line after a half-life bull market. ① MA18 is that in BTC, we always act as a support line after a half-life bull market. The same is true for the third half-life this time. The same is true for the third half-life this time. You can view it by viewing the chart. You can view it by viewing the chart. Then, in the lower half-life of the last time, MA18 increased from 6 hits to 4, and the price reached its peak. Then, in the lower half-life of the last time, MA18 increased from 6 hits to 4, and the price reached its peak. Only once this time. Only once this time. Therefore, I think we can assume there will be 3 to 5 more times. Therefore, I think we can assume there will be 3 to 5 more times. In addition, at KDJ in (2), we can finally see that the purple short-term line has moved beyond the medium- and long-term line. In addition, at KDJ in (2), we can finally see that the purple short-term line has moved beyond the medium- and long-term line. Based on these two points, it can be said that the bull market is still going on every week.

Based on these two points, it can be said that the bull market is still going on every week. I will continue to review my market predictions for the third half-life of Bitcoin. I will continue to review my market predictions for the third half-life of Bitcoin. First of all, I want you to understand the characteristics of the big market that has occurred after the last two half-lives.

First of all, I want you to understand the characteristics of the big market that has occurred after the last two half-lives. ① Calculated from the first half-life on May 11, 2012. ① Calculated from the first half-life on May 11, 2012. Then, after 4 days in December 2013, nearly a year, and then, 4 days after December 2013, nearly a year, the S2F price rose from 10 to the price deviating from the era, and the bull market ended. The S2F price rose from 10 to the price deviating from the era, and the bull market ended. The second half-life period of ② is to start a new day on July 7, 2016. The second half-life period of ② is to start a new day on July 7, 2016. Then, after nearly a year and a half year on May 11, 2020, and then after nearly a year and a half year on May 11, 2020, S2F rose from the price of 3.5 to the price deviation era, and the bull market ended.

S2F rose approximately from a price of 3.5 to a price deviating from the era, and the bull market ended. This time is the third half-life. This time is the third half-life. First, because the divergence rate from 1 to 2 tends to gradually decrease, first, since the divergence rate from 1 to 2 tends to gradually decrease , based on the decline rate from ① to ②, the predicted value is 1.27 times. Therefore, based on the decline rate from ① to ②, the predicted value is 1.27 times. The next slide shows the expected price pattern and arrival time based on the above information.

The next slide shows the expected price pattern and arrival time based on the above information. We assume that there are 4 modes. We assume that there are 4 modes. Since the possibility of ① is zero, the description will be omitted. Since the possibility of ① is zero, the description will be omitted. ②, the case S2F price, $1,03,647 (the forecast value of supply and demand on August 20, 2021), ②, the case S2F price, $1,03,647 (the day of August 20, 2021) Supply and demand forecast values), therefore, the deviation rate given is $235,278 as the target, so the deviation rate given is $235,270 Eight is the goal, and the peak time of the US stock market in the scenario linked to the summer rebound is around August.

The peak time for the US stock market in the scenario linked to the summer rally is around August. ③ The case S2F price, $105,091 (November 10, 2021, because of the one-day supply and demand forecast value), ③ The case S2F price, $105,091 (November 10, 2021, because of one day's supply and demand forecasts). Due to the deviation rate, the target is $ 238,556, and the peak time is 11 four weeks before May 10, one day Later. Due to the deviation rate, the target is $238,556, and the peak time is 11 May 10, four weeks before and one day later. ④In the case, ③In the case of assuming further delays, in this case, ④In the case, ③In the case of assuming further delays, in this case, the S2F price is US$112,939 (January 1, 2022 , Because of the forecast value of supply and demand on the day), the S2F price is US$112,939 (January 1, 2022, because of the forecast value of the day’s supply and demand), given the deviation rate, US$238,556.

Our goal is that the peak time around January is 2021 January. Given the deviation rate, our goal is for the peak time around January to be January 2021 at USD 238,556. This depends on. This depends on. And, randomly, I think ② is still the highest. And, randomly, I think ② is still the highest. The biggest reason is that the US market is in a leading position in the third half-life market.

The biggest reason is that the US market is in a leading position in the third half-life market. With the listing of Coinbase, the cryptocurrency business has attracted more and more attention from American investors. With the listing of Coinbase, the cryptocurrency business has attracted more and more attention from American investors. Coinbase's performance is also very strong, and Coinbase's performance is also very strong. Strong, so the growth itself is the performance of American investors in other cryptocurrencies (including Bitcoin). So growth itself is the performance of American investors in other cryptocurrencies (including Bitcoin). Due to the summer rebound of the US stock market, and due to the summer rebound of the US stock market, assets that have entered the risky mode will also be allocated to cryptocurrencies. Assets that have entered the risky mode will also be allocated assets to cryptocurrencies. From here, this is basic analysis. From here, this is basic analysis. We will mainly use the data of the glass node for analysis. We will mainly use the data of the glass node for analysis. The first is Bitcoin stock flow analysis. The first is Bitcoin stock flow analysis.

The current price on May 9th is US$57,040, the S2F price is US$99,744 , the current price on May 9th is US$57,040, and the S2F price is US$99,744, which is more of the current price, with a deviation rate of -43%. . It is more of the current price, -43% deviation rate. Last week, the second was -40%, so the range is wider. The disagreement rate remains high. Last week, the second was -40%, so the range is wider. The disagreement rate remains high. Moreover, in this analysis of data, on August 20, the price of BTC's S2F was already $103,647. Moreover, in this analysis of data, on August 20, the price of BTC's S2F was already $103,647. Next is the standard deviation trend of Bitcoin stock flow analysis. Next is the standard deviation trend of Bitcoin stock flow analysis. Above 1.0, the market is overheated. On the contrary, if it is less than 1.0, there is still room for increase in the safe area. Above 1.0, the market is overheated. On the contrary, if it is less than 1.0, there is still room for increase in the safe area.

It was 0.596 inches on May 5, 2010, and the deviation rate was -40%. It was 0.596 inches on May 5, 2010, and the deviation rate was -40%. One day is -38%. This also expands again. One day is -38%. This also expands again. Next is the BTC reserve risk. Next is the BTC reserve risk. When the value is equal to or greater than 0.2, it has entered the red zone, when the value is equal to or greater than 0.2, it has entered the red zone, and in the past two half-lives, the big market has ended after entering the red zone.

Now and in the past two half-lives, the big market has ended after entering the red zone. The current May 8th is 0.0068, and the deviation rate is 2904%. It was 0.0068 on May 8, and the deviation rate was 2904%. The first day of last week was 2898%, and if you did this, the deviation rate would hardly change. The first day of last week was 2898%, and if you did this, the deviation rate would hardly change.

Next comes the uncertain profit and loss of Bitcoin buyers. Next comes the uncertain profit and loss of Bitcoin buyers. The green area indicates that there is still room for upside. If it is higher than 0.75 and enters the blue area, the green area indicates that there is still room for upside. If it is higher than 0.75 and enters the blue area, it indicates that the selling pressure to obtain the profit of selling bitcoin buyers will increase. . It indicates that the selling pressure to gain profits from selling bitcoin buyers will increase. Entering the blue zone is related to the end of the big market. Entering the blue zone is related to the end of the big market.

After that, prices plummeted. After that, prices plummeted. May 9 is the current day, 0.659. Last week, 25 was 0.66, so there is almost no change here. May 9 is the current day, 0.659. Last week, 25 was 0.66, so there is almost no change here. We are still in the green area, so there is room for climbing. We are still in the green area, so there is room for climbing. The second is to stabilize the supply rate of coins. The second is to stabilize the supply rate of coins. Many virtual currency exchanges USDT, USDC, DAI, because it has accepted investment funds in stable tokens such as Of investment funds, and here is in a bull market trend, the price of BTC will rise. And here is in a bull market trend, and the price of BTC will rise.

However, in the case of a large market, PayPal is a good example, but in the case of a large market, PayPal is a good example, but the purchasing power of directly exchanging BTC without using stable coins will also be Activated. But the purchasing power of directly exchanging BTC without using stable coins will also be activated. Currently 13 Compared with last week, it was -6.1%. Currently 13 Compared with last week, it was -6.1%. In particular, the trend is a bear market because it is below the 16.85 support line. In particular, the trend is a bear market because it is below the 16.85 support line. I still feel like I am looking for the lowest price.

I still feel like I am looking for the lowest price. From here, it is the number of the futures market. From here, it is the number of the futures market. The first is the interest rate trend of all exchanges of BTC indefinite futures. The first is the interest rate trend of all exchanges of BTC indefinite futures. If the price rises too high, the interest rate to maintain the long position will be very high. If the price rises too high, the interest rate to maintain the long position will be very high. This will encourage futures traders to close the long position and the price will fall as a result.

This will encourage futures traders to close long positions, and as a result prices will fall. On the contrary, if the interest rate is lower, the price of long hair will be cheaper, so it is a bull market material. On the contrary, if the interest rate is lower, the price of long hair will be cheaper, so it is a bull market material. The current day is August 5, which is 0.027%. On the second day of last week, it accounted for 0.024%. It has risen a bit, but it is still very low.

The current day is August 5, which is 0.027%. On the second day of last week, it accounted for 0.024%. It has risen a bit, but it is still very low. Then there are the market capitalization of the entire market and the trend of Bitcoin dominance. Then there are the market capitalization of the entire market and the trend of Bitcoin dominance. The market value of the entire market rose modestly to +8.7% this week, compared to a sharp increase of +22% last week. The market value of the entire market rose modestly to +8.7% this week, compared to a sharp increase of +22% last week. At the same time, the dominance continues to decline sharply. Fell to -3.22% to 44.74%. At the same time, the dominance continues to decline sharply.

Fell to -3.22% to 44.74%. In other words, altcoins are the driving force behind the dramatic increase in market value. In other words, altcoins are the driving force behind the dramatic increase in market value. As a reminder, we are tracking the trend of the ETH/BTC price pair. As a reminder, we are tracking the trend of the ETH/BTC price pair. A rather strong bull market trend was born. A rather strong bull market trend was born. First of all, on the basis of the daily chart, with EMA8 as the support line, a strong upward trend continues. First of all, on the basis of the daily chart, with EMA8 as the support line, a strong upward trend continues. On the one-month foot chart, EMA34 of EMA8 became the deployment pullout. On the one-month foot chart, EMA34 of EMA8 became the deployment pullout. As for KDJ, the short-term line completely exceeds the medium- and long-term line. As for KDJ, the short-term line completely exceeds the medium- and long-term line. We can expect the bull market to continue because we can confirm that the bull market has formed a round bottom. We can expect the bull market to continue because we can confirm that the bull market has formed a round bottom.

Next is the transition of the new issuance and cancellation of WBTC. Next is the transition of the new issuance and cancellation of WBTC. WBTC is used by many investors. If the price of BTC continues to rise after a certain period of time, WBTC is used by many investors. If the price of BTC continues to rise after a certain period of time, how will WBTC replace DeFi with the funds you earn? So how will WBTC replace DeFi with the funds you earn? As the price of Bitcoin continues to recover moderately, as the price of Bitcoin continues to recover moderately, the WBTC market continues to see a significant increase in new issuance.

The condition is pretty good. The WBTC market continues to see a significant increase in new issuance. The condition is pretty good. Next is the Bitcoin remittance fee. Next is the Bitcoin remittance fee. The current price is $18.6, a decrease of -18% from last week. The current price is $18.6, a decrease of -18% from last week. Since last week, the situation has become quite calm. Since last week, the situation has become quite calm. Then there is Google search trend data.

Then there is Google search trend data. Bitcoin is -7 to 36. Gold is -4 to 69, U.S. dollar is +1 to 33, and ETH is +2 to 5. Bitcoin is -7 to 36. Gold is -4 to 69, U.S. dollar is +1 to 33, and ETH is +2 to 5. After all, you can also view the ETH bull market here. After all, you can also view the ETH bull market here. Next is the gold chart. Next is the gold chart. As I said before, Bitcoin and gold are becoming competitors.

As I said before, Bitcoin and gold are becoming competitors, so this is inversely proportional to the price of BTC. So this is inversely proportional to the BTC price. Last week, it has maintained a moderate upward trend, closing at 1830 US dollars. Last week, it has maintained a moderate upward trend, closing at 1830 US dollars. Next is the market capitalization ranking of Bitcoin as a risk asset. Next is the market capitalization ranking of Bitcoin as a risk asset. Despite the decline last week, the ranking is the same as last week, ranking 6th, second only to Google. Despite the decline last week, the ranking is the same as last week, ranking 6th, second only to Google. I predict that Bitcoin will be the number 1 in the world by the end of this ranking in 2021. I predict that Bitcoin will be the number 1 in the world by the end of this ranking in 2021. Next is Satoshi Nakamoto's ranking in the world's millionaire ranking. Next is Satoshi Nakamoto's ranking in the world's millionaire ranking. It is estimated that Satoshi Nakamoto, the 100 human BTC creators of Bitcoin, holds approximately 57 trillion yen, compared to the current ranking of the two that dropped by 23 places last week.

It is estimated that Satoshi Nakamoto, the 100 human BTC creators of Bitcoin, holds approximately 57 trillion yen, compared to the current ranking of the two that dropped by 23 places last week. I predict that Satoshi Nakamoto will be the number 1 in the world in 2021. I predict that Satoshi Nakamoto will be the number 1 in the world in 2021. I am the first person in the world to advocate "Nakamoto = Yong Kaneko". I am the first person in the world to advocate "Nakamoto = Yong Kaneko". Please check my related video for details. Please check my related video for details. The second is the world GDP ranking. The second is the world GDP ranking. Number 1 is the United States. On the other hand, the overall market value of the virtual currency market is currently on May 8, and the 1st is the United States.

On the other hand, the overall market value of the virtual currency market is currently 250 trillion yen on May 8, below France, and the eighth is already in place. 250 trillion yen, below France, the eighth is already in place. The second is the interest rate trend of US government bonds. I have watched it for ten years. The second is the interest rate trend of US government bonds. I have watched it for ten years. On May 7, the closing price was 1.577%. On May 7, the closing price was 1.577%. This is a decrease of -0.048% compared to last week. Evidence of funds flowing into the stock market. This is a decrease of -0.048% compared to last week. Evidence of funds flowing into the stock market. Next is the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. This is a 5-day chart. Next is the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

This is a 5-day chart. The April unemployment rate in the United States was announced in July, and there has been little change. The April unemployment rate in the United States was announced in July, and there has been little change. By exchanging this number, the stock price is rising. By exchanging this number, the stock price is rising. For the virtual currency market, this will be a risk-taking model, so it has a positive impact. For the virtual currency market, this will be a risk-taking model, so it has a positive impact. Next is the Nasdaq 100, which is mainly composed of high-tech brands. Next is the Nasdaq 100, which is mainly composed of high-tech brands. It is almost the same as Standard & Poor's (S&P).

It is almost the same as Standard & Poor's (S&P). Then, May 10 from the day May 14 is the eye-catching event of the day. Then, May 10 from the day May 14 is the eye-catching event of the day. May 13: The number of first unemployed persons in the United States (previous week's value: 498,000, -10%) May 13: The number of first unemployed persons in the United States (previous week's value: 498,000, -10%) Next is related news. Next is related news. This is the trend of the new coronavirus. This is the trend of the new coronavirus. The growth rate of the number of infections increased slightly from 3.9% last week to 3.6% this week. The growth rate of the number of infections increased slightly from 3.9% last week to 3.6% this week. On the other hand, the death toll has risen sharply from 5.9% last week to +2.8%.

On the other hand, the death toll has risen sharply from 5.9% last week to +2.8%. And news. And news. The results of a survey conducted by MasterCard on 15,000 credit card users showed that the results of a survey conducted by MasterCard on 15,000 credit card users showed that more than 40% of users answered that they would use virtual currency within a year Payment. More than 40% of users responded that they will use virtual currency to pay within one year. This is awesome. This is awesome. We have been steadily seeing the development of cryptocurrency swallowing the existing payment infrastructure. We have been steadily seeing the development of cryptocurrency swallowing the existing payment infrastructure.

Another news. Another news. Coinbase will completely close its San Francisco headquarters in 2022, Coinbase will completely close its San Francisco headquarters in 2022, and all headquarters employees will switch to remote work. All headquarters employees will switch to remote work. Coinbase believes that although it is a centralized exchange, the attempt to measure complete remote work is still very good. Coinbase believes that although it is a centralized exchange, the attempt to measure complete remote work is still very good. Because its management strategy is consistent with the idea of blockchain. Because its management strategy is consistent with the idea of blockchain. Another news. Another news. The new chairman of the SEC, Gary, said that the cryptocurrency market needs to be properly regulated.

The new chairman of the SEC, Gary, said that the cryptocurrency market needs to be properly regulated to eliminate fraudulent transactions. To eliminate fraudulent transactions. We have been closely following the development of the SEC under the leadership of the Biden administration. We have been following the development of the SEC under the leadership of the Biden administration, because constructive regulations have always been promoting the development of the industry. Because constructive regulations are always promoting the development of the industry. Finally, the usual slides. Finally, the usual slides. It is a comparison of the growth rate of the Internet industry and the blockchain industry. It is a comparison of the growth rate of the Internet industry and the blockchain industry. I think it is very important to use it as an investment standard in the industry. I think it is very important to use it as an investment standard in the industry. First, on the Internet, the bubble burst in March 2000 and the market collapsed.

First, on the Internet, the bubble burst in March 2000 and the market collapsed. Since then, it has surpassed the peak of the bubble, 2015 is the 4th year, and May is the 15th year. Since then, it has surpassed the peak of the bubble, 2015 is the 4th year, and May is the 15th year. On the other hand, what about the blockchain? On the other hand, what about blockchain? In January 2018, the market value of the entire market reached its peak in the bubble.

In January 2018, the market value of the entire market reached its peak in the bubble. Then, three years later, in January 2021, the price exceeded the highest price. Then, three years later, in January 2021, the price exceeded the highest price. Therefore, through simple calculations, therefore, through simple calculations, the growth rate of the blockchain industry is five times that of the Internet industry. The growth rate of the blockchain industry is five times that of the Internet industry. Regarding the choice of investment destination, competition from all over the world Regarding the choice of investment destination, competition from all over the world determines the top players five times faster than the Internet. The speed of determining top players is five times faster than the Internet. Which project will be Google or Facebook in the blockchain industry? Which project will be Google or Facebook in the blockchain industry? This means quick judgment is required. This means quick judgment is required. That's it. That's it. The content of this video is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee return on investment.

The content of this video is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee return on investment. Please make the final investment decision at your own risk. Please make the final investment decision at your own risk. However, I sincerely hope that my video can provide practical help to anyone who is investing or considering cryptocurrency. However, I sincerely hope that my video can provide practical help to anyone who is investing or considering cryptocurrency. We have also released various other altcoin analysis and blockchain-related videos, and we have also released various other altcoin analysis and blockchain-related videos, so please subscribe to our channel. So please subscribe to our channel. Thanks for listening! Thanks for listening! .

You May Also Like